First National Corp Stock Analysis

FXNC Stock  USD 25.90  0.14  0.54%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First National Corp extending back to June 27, 1996. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First National stands at 25.90, as last reported on the 30th of January, with the highest price reaching 25.90 and the lowest price hitting 25.76 during the day.
IPO Date
2nd of January 2001
200 Day MA
22.3151
50 Day MA
25.091
Beta
0.491
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
First National Corp has over 30.45 Million in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. The current year's Interest Debt Per Share is expected to grow to 10.71, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 21.5 M. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce First National's Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

First National's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. First National's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps First Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect First National's stakeholders.
For most companies, including First National, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for First National Corp, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, First National's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.2695
Price Sales
2.8584
Shares Float
6.8 M
Dividend Share
0.62
Wall Street Target Price
23.75
At present, First National's Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Stockholder Equity is expected to grow to about 93 M, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is forecasted to decline to about 4.4 M. . At present, First National's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 1.38, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is forecasted to decline to (0.79).
First National Corp is fairly valued with Real Value of 26.71 and Target Price of 23.75. The main objective of First National stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what First National Corp is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of First National's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The First National stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and First National's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First National Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.

First Stock Analysis Notes

About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.27. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First National Corp last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of May 2005. First National Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First Bank that provides various commercial banking services to small and medium-sized businesses, individuals, estates, local governmental entities, and non-profit organizations in Virginia. The company was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Strasburg, Virginia. First Natl is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States. To learn more about First National Corp call Scott Harvard at 540 465 9121 or check out https://www.fbvirginia.com.

First National Quarterly Total Revenue

29.59 Million

First National Corp Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. First National's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding First National Corp or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
First National Corp currently holds about 75.78 M in cash with (22.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.1.
Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 15th of December 2025 First National paid $ 0.17 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: First National Corporation Reports Record Fourth Quarter and Annual 2025 Earnings

First Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact First National's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.170.20.0317 
2010-10-22
2010-09-300.20.16-0.0420 
2024-07-31
2024-06-300.440.39-0.0511 
View All Earnings Estimates

First National Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

First National's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates First National's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of First National's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect First National's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

First Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Graves-light Private Wealth Management, Inc.2025-06-30
60.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
47 K
First Manhattan Co. Llc2025-06-30
35.5 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
31.7 K
Commonwealth Equity Services Inc2025-06-30
30.1 K
Davenport & Company Llc2025-06-30
25.8 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
25.7 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
22.3 K
Los Angeles Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
20.7 K
Fourthstone Llc2025-06-30
828.3 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
430.6 K
Note, although First National's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

First Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 232.12 M.

First Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.14 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.33 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.33.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.07 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Management Efficiency

The current year's Return On Capital Employed is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to decline to 0. At present, First National's Non Current Assets Total are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Other Current Assets is expected to grow to about 161.5 M, whereas Non Currrent Assets Other are forecasted to decline to about 55.3 M. First National's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well First National manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 21.52  22.59 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 19.19  20.15 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 3.07  2.91 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.11  1.38 
Enterprise Value Multiple 3.07  2.91 
Price Fair Value 1.11  1.38 
Enterprise Value102 M107.2 M
Leadership effectiveness at First National Corp is a strong indicator of its financial stability. We analyze various metrics to provide insights into the stock's investment viability.
Dividend Yield
0.0243
Operating Margin
0.3254
Profit Margin
0.1387
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0266
Beta
0.491

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of January, First National shows the Downside Deviation of 0.9737, mean deviation of 0.962, and Coefficient Of Variation of 687.76. First National Corp technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.

First National Corp Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. First National middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for First National Corp. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

First National Corp Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific First National insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on First National's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases First National insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

First National Outstanding Bonds

First National issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. First National Corp uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most First bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when First National Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

First National Predictive Daily Indicators

First National intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of First National stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

First National Corporate Filings

8K
29th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
5th of January 2026
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10Q
14th of November 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
13th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
5th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
30th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
14th of August 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
13th of August 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

First National Forecast Models

First National's time-series forecasting models are one of many First National's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary First National's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

First National Bond Ratings

First National Corp financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much First National have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for First National's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
5
HealthyView
Beneish M Score
(2.45)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

First National Corp Debt to Cash Allocation

As First National Corp follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. First National's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
First National Corp currently holds 30.45 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 14.07, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Note, when we think about First National's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.

First National Total Assets Over Time

First National Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which First National uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

First National Debt Ratio

    
  1.66   
It looks as if most of the First National's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the First National's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of First National, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

First National Corporate Bonds Issued

Most First bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when First National Corp has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

First Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

21.51 Million

At present, First National's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

About First Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how First National prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling First shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as First National. By using and applying First Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying First entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.07  0.12 
Gross Profit Margin 0.58  0.51 

Current First Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. First analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. First analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
23.75Hold2Odds
First National Corp current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First National Corp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
First Analyst Advice Details

First Stock Analysis Indicators

First National Corp stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how First National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading First National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying First National stock analysis, traders can identify First National position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow87.2 M
Long Term Debt30.5 M
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Total Stockholder Equity166.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities136.8 M
Tax Provision1.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.725
Property Plant And Equipment Net34.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments164.5 M
Cash162.9 M
Net Debt-132.4 M
50 Day M A25.091
Total Current Liabilities1.8 B
Other Operating Expenses80.2 M
Non Current Assets Total1.8 B
Forward Price Earnings8.0906
Non Currrent Assets Other64.4 M
Stock Based Compensation635 K

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First National's price analysis, check to measure First National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First National is operating at the current time. Most of First National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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